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SUMMARY:Lecture: Climate-Informed Flood Frequency Analysis and Emergin
 g Perspectives on Flood Hazards
UID:05c4-2fc4-7e5c-27793@www.gzn.nat.fau.de
DESCRIPTION:The Research Group Modeling of Environmental Systems (Prof
 . Dr. Gabriele Chiogna) is delighted to welcome Abinesh Ganapathy (Ind
 ian Institute of Technology Roorkee) at our institute where he will pr
 esent a lecture entitled &#8220\;Climate-Informed Flood Frequency Anal
 ysis and Emerging Perspectives on Flood Hazards&#8221\;. We look forwa
 rd to a broad attendance. When? Tuesday\, June 9\, 2026 | 12:00–13:0
 0 Room: KH 0.011 Hörsaal Kollegienhaus\, EG\, Universitätsstraße 15
 \, 91054 Erlangen Abstract Flooding is one of the most devastating nat
 ural hazards\, causing significant loss of life and resources across t
 he globe. Flood Frequency Analysis (FFA) is commonly used to estimate 
 flood quantiles at different return periods\, thereby providing essent
 ial information to flood managers and decision makers for flood risk a
 ssessment. However\, the traditional FFA assumes all the flood samples
  are process-neutral\, neglecting the inherent flood-generating mechan
 isms. Further\, with the anthropogenic climate change impact\, the flo
 od distributions are expected to change\, thereby affecting the flood 
 quantile estimates. My PhD research addresses these challenges by deve
 loping improved approaches for flood quantile estimation. First\, I pr
 opose a novel methodology that integrates pooling of reforecast datase
 ts and addresses sample heterogeneity to show the importance of incorp
 orating diverse flood-generating processes in FFA. Next\, a season-mix
 ing climate-informed approach has been proposed\, which exploits clima
 te- flood linkages and incorporates the seasonality effect while estim
 ating flood quantiles. Furthermore\, the climate-informed model is ext
 ended to forecast season-ahead flood quantiles for the Indian catchmen
 ts and compares the results against the stationary reference model. Th
 e results demonstrate the improved capability of the climate-informed 
 model in forecasting flood quantiles with uncertainty comparable to th
 at of the reference model. The talk will also highlight o
DTSTART:20260609T100000Z
DTEND:20260609T110000Z
LOCATION:KH 0.011 Hörsaal Kollegienhaus
DTSTAMP:20260603T181816Z
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